3G infrastructure construction peak has passed
On January 5, the information service and other sectors continued the strong trend for 4 days, and Shenwan Information Services and Electronic Components Industry Index ranked first in the list of gains. Industry insiders believe that China's 3G users reached 10 million in 2009, and 2010 will be the beginning of the vigorous development of the era of 3G applications featuring mobile Internet applications.
The growth rate of network construction declines
On Jan. 5, Silanwei and Beidouxingtong reached daily limit, while Topband, Weishitong and Zhongchuangxin all measured gains of around 7%.
Ren Wenjie, a researcher at First Ventures, believes that the three major operators all invested huge amounts of money in the construction of 3G networks in 2009. 2010 was a period of scale for 3G users. At this time, the focus of operators has shifted from network construction to operations.
"Now the expressway has been built, and only waiting for the car to go on the road." An operator insider said, "After 3G users reach a certain scale, featured applications are particularly important, which is also the focus of competition among companies."
2009 is a critical year for the three major operators to quickly build networks. According to the 2009 "transcript" recently disclosed by the three major operators. The third phase of China Mobile's TD project has been successfully completed, covering more than 70% of the country's cities. The total number of base stations has also exceeded 100,000 from 20,000 at the beginning of last year. At present, the number of TD-SCDMA users in the country has exceeded 5 million. China Mobile will start the fourth phase of TD-SCDMA network construction this year. It is expected to cover more than 330 cities across the country after completion. And China Unicom's WCDMA network has covered 335 large and medium-sized cities, basically covering cities above the prefecture level, transportation trunk lines and key tourist attractions. China Telecom expects to become the world's largest CDMA operator by the end of 2010.
Zhang Xiaoliang, a researcher at Bohai Securities, predicts that telecommunications investment will reach 330 billion yuan in 2009. The performance of telecommunications equipment manufacturers will generally grow rapidly throughout the year, but telecommunications investment will decline in 2010, and the performance of equipment manufacturers will diverge. The demand for network operation and maintenance, network optimization, and terminals will increase, and these industries also have certain investment opportunities.
For terminal enterprises, due to the existence of three 3G standards, future cooperation with operators will also be closer. Wang Jianzhou, president of China Mobile, recently said during a visit to Yulong Coolpad that the key to the development of TD is to look at the terminal. The quality and cost of mobile phone terminals are even more important than the network to some extent. China Mobile pays more attention to terminals than ever.
Industry application opportunities are coming
The industry believes that with the increase in the number of 3G users, value-added services that require a larger amount of data will experience rapid growth. Possible applications include mobile reading, mobile games, mobile animation, and mobile video.
"When the number of domestic 3G users exceeds 20 million, the scale effect will begin to manifest, and the revenue of new value-added services may show rapid growth with scale. Since domestic 3G users have reached 10 million in 2009, we expect that in the second half of 2010 This is a period when the wireless value-added service market begins to grow rapidly. "Ren Wenjie said.
At present, the application of 3G in mobile e-commerce is also developing rapidly. Recently, Unicom Ningbo Branch launched the first domestic 3G commercial project with Samsung and Ningbo Sansheng. This project will realize the three major functions of "information value-added service, online shopping platform, mobile payment platform" for the first time. With the help of Sansheng mobile e-commerce system, Sansheng will provide mobile marketing and training, mobile business management, and mobile online shopping for its marketers. , Wireless payment and other services.
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