Baidu autopilot, enter life in three or five years?

Electronic enthusiasts eight o'clock: "Technology is not limited to computer technology, any new method, any method that can make things easier to complete is technology, this is the correct solution of technology." - Peter Tiel

There is no doubt that it is cool, but can it really come into our lives in the first three to five years?

On March 1st, an email announcing the three-in-one, such as Baidu Autopilot, and the establishment of the Intelligent Driving Business Group (IDG) was exposed online, knocking on the blackboard~ The focus of this email is also that the IDG department will hand over Soon after, the "AI soul figure" Lu Qi was in charge, and then Wang Jin, senior vice president of Baidu and former general manager of the autonomous driving department, was announced to "internal rest adjustment."

Baidu autopilot, enter life in three or five years?

L4 level unmanned world problem

The past two years are the time when Baidu unmanned vehicles are infinite. At the end of 2015, Baidu unmanned vehicles departed from Baidu Building to the North Fifth Ring Road. After completing the first road test, they alerted the industry. After completing the first road test, the experiment was put forward. The room "closed door" can not create "unmanned vehicles", Baidu has cooperated with Wuhu, Wuzhen and other governments to build a demonstration area for unmanned vehicles; and went to the United States to complete the "competition with the world's top unmanned vehicles" The “first run” of Silicon Valley gave China a few “admission tickets” for the top technology of unmanned vehicles. Subsequently, Baidu’s unmanned vehicles experienced operation in Wuzhen, the world’s Internet conference. This is the first time in an open city. In the case of roads, L4-class driverless technology without human intervention is implemented...

Baidu autopilot, enter life in three or five years?

The technical team Wang Jin has also received the most attention in his career. At the end of last year, in the "60 people who drive the development of autonomous driving technology" selected by the well-known American auto media AutomoTIve News, Bai Jin senior vice president Wang Jin became the only representative of Chinese enterprises. AutomoTIve News gave the reason for Wang Jin's selection: Baidu, a Chinese search engine company, has invested a lot in autonomous driving technology. Under the leadership of Wang Jin, the company plans to launch autonomous vehicles on a small scale by 2018 and in 2021. Previously achieved mass production.

We need to understand the concept of autonomous driving - exactly L4 level driverless technology. According to the classification standard published by NHTSA in the United States, smart cars have to go through four stages: assisted driving, semi-automatic driving, conditional automatic driving, and automatic driving. Among them, L4 belongs to the highest level of full driverless driving.

How difficult is L4 to look at the standard Tesla. At the end of last year, Tesla also released a demo video showing the sight of an electric car “seeing” while driving. From the video, the passengers have basically not done the operation during the whole journey, that is, they have reached the L4 level.

But there is Elon called "radical"? At the recent World Head of Government (WGS2017) meeting in Dubai, Musk said that the clear timetable for Tesla's commercial Level 4 autopilot technology is 10 years. "For all the new cars to be equipped with autonomous driving technology, it still takes 10 years to achieve, and the fuel car completely withdraws from the historical stage, it still takes about 20 years to transition."

Stability, cost and mass production

Tesla's conservativeness in L4 commercialization can roughly represent the general attitude of the industry. And Baidu, who is determined to be so big, what is the ambition of the unmanned car?

On the one hand, it is the investment of real money, according to Wang Jin's public disclosure, Baidu's investment in the development of unmanned vehicles exceeds any previous product. On the other hand, it is indeed a gathering of a group of top talents and Baidu's accumulation in big data and AI.

But the success of the experimental phase and the victory of commercialization are not a hierarchical concept. A large number of laboratory products cannot go out of the industry, or because the timing is wrong, or because mass production is impossible.

It is widely believed that hardware cost is one of the factors that restrict the commercialization of unmanned vehicles. There is such a paragraph, of course, it is also a real thing.

Wang Jin once said that his boss Li Yanhong asked him "You have to get 700,000 things all day long (a radar is going), who can you sell to?" The laser radar of Baidu unmanned car roof is about 700,000 yuan, which is not Exaggerated, Google's Velodyne radar used in its prototype of unmanned vehicles is also priced at around $80,000.

It is worthy of the news that there is such a news in 2016, Velodyne announced that its laser radar company VelodyneLiDAR has obtained a $150 million joint investment between Baidu and Ford, which is developing its own driverless technology. The all-round cooperation in the field of human driving.

Look at the background - Baidu unmanned vehicles use a variety of sensors such as 64-line laser radar, millimeter wave radar, camera to sense the environment on the road. Among them, the Velodyne LiDAR 64-line laser radar is the "something" worth 700,000. It has an advantage in the accuracy of ranging. It works like a bat's vocal organ. It hits the object and reflexes it by taking light pulses. The propagation time of the receiver, and then the distance of the measured object can be accurately measured according to the speed of light. When LiDAR performs object scanning, the combination of the sensing system hardware and the computing function software can increase the number of laser lines and reduce the computational burden.

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